Before this course: Neighbourhood Store Business (course 2.20) and Store Operations: stock, credit and margins (course 2.20.2). You should already know gross profit, margin versus markup, ABC grouping, reorder points, true cost per piece, an aging list for credit, daily cash counts and a monthly profit and loss. Here we do not repeat those lessons. We use them to grow.
Let your numbers choose the stock
Think of a school bag again. In 2.20.2 you learned which books to carry first. Now you ask a bigger question: which whole shelf of books deserves the most space in the bag? You look at each category, not only each item, and you give space to the ones that pay you back fastest.
- Category review: group your items into categories (drinks, staples, snacks, household, and so on). For each category, find its sales, cost of goods sold (COGS), gross profit and average stock at cost.
- Gross profit return on stock = monthly gross profit of a category ÷ average stock at cost. It tells you how hard each unit of money on the shelf is working. (Retailers call a yearly version of this GMROI. Here we use the monthly number.)
- Space and cash: a category that holds a lot of your stock money but brings little gross profit is a candidate to shrink. A category with a high return and frequent stock-outs is a candidate to grow.
- Dead stock: an item with no sale for a period you choose (many owners pick 60 days, which is a rule of thumb, not a law) is dead stock. Make a plan: discount it, bundle it, return it to the supplier if allowed, or stop reordering.
- Trial rule for new items: put a new item on the shelf for four weeks, write the target (for example, 20 pieces and a gross profit of at least your category average), and decide with the numbers, not with feelings.
- Sales by day and hour: a simple tally in a notebook (morning, afternoon, evening) shows when your customers come. Use it for stock, promos and staff.
| Category | Sales | COGS | Gross profit | Average stock at cost | Return on stock per month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drinks | 30,000 | 24,000 | 6,000 | 4,000 | 1.50 |
| Staples | 50,000 | 44,000 | 6,000 | 10,000 | 0.60 |
| Snacks | 20,000 | 16,000 | 4,000 | 8,000 | 0.50 |
| Household | 10,000 | 8,000 | 2,000 | 8,000 | 0.25 |
| Total | 110,000 | 92,000 | 18,000 | 30,000 | 0.60 |
Household uses 27% of the stock money (8,000 of 30,000) but brings only 11% of the gross profit (2,000 of 18,000). Drinks use 13% of the stock money and bring 33% of the gross profit. A good move: cut household to the 10 best sellers, free up cash, and give drinks a second cooler shelf.
- Make a list of your categories (4 to 8 is enough).
- From your sales notes and purchase invoices of last month, write each category's sales and COGS.
- Subtract to get gross profit for each category.
- Estimate average stock at cost for each category (stock at the start of the month plus stock at the end, divided by two).
- Divide gross profit by average stock to get the return on stock.
- Sort from highest to lowest. Mark the top one to grow and the bottom one to shrink.
- List items with no sale in 60 days and write one action for each (discount, bundle, return, stop ordering).
- Choose one new item to trial for four weeks, with a written target.
- Check: you can say in one sentence which category gets more space next month and why.
Videos by other creators on YouTube, for reference. They are not made by or affiliated with The Future Market.
Read the video script
[Host in front of two shelves, one packed, one thin] "Which shelf deserves more space?"
[Text on screen: Return on stock = gross profit ÷ average stock] "Divide a category's gross profit by the stock money it holds."
[Text on screen: Drinks 1.50 / Household 0.25] "Drinks work six times harder per peso on the shelf than household goods."
[Text on screen: No sale in 60 days = dead stock] "Items that do not sell for a long time are dead stock. Give each one a plan."
[Host] "Let the numbers pick the shelf space. Test new items for four weeks."
Build the category table for your store (or for the practice store). Find the return on stock for each category. Name one category to grow, one to shrink, and three items of dead stock with an action for each.
ClaudeStuck? Copy a ready-made prompt for Claude
Copy this, open Claude, paste it, and Claude will walk you through the lesson step by step.
For a grown-up: Claude is for adults (18+). Copy this, paste it into Claude, and use the answer to explain the lesson to your child.
I'm learning "Growing a Store: second location, promos and systems" on The Future Market. Lesson 1: "Let your numbers choose the stock". What the lesson teaches: - Category review: group your items into categories (drinks, staples, snacks, household, and so on). For each category, find its sales, cost of goods sold (COGS), gross profit and average stock at cost. - Gross profit return on stock = monthly gross profit of a category ÷ average stock at cost. It tells you how hard each unit of money on the shelf is working. (Retailers call a yearly version of this GMROI. Here we use the monthly number.) - Space and cash: a category that holds a lot of your stock money but brings little gross profit is a candidate to shrink. A category with a high return and frequent stock-outs is a candidate to grow. - Dead stock: an item with no sale for a period you choose (many owners pick 60 days, which is a rule of thumb, not a law) is dead stock. Make a plan: discount it, bundle it, return it to the supplier if allowed, or stop reordering. - Trial rule for new items: put a new item on the shelf for four weeks, write the target (for example, 20 pieces and a gross profit of at least your category average), and decide with the numbers, not with feelings. - Sales by day and hour: a simple tally in a notebook (morning, afternoon, evening) shows when your customers come. Use it for stock, promos and staff. The exercise I'm working on: Build the category table for your store (or for the practice store). Find the return on stock for each category. Name one category to grow, one to shrink, and three items of dead stock with an action for each. I'm stuck. Please: 1. Explain the main idea in plain, simple words with one everyday example. 2. Walk me through the exercise one small step at a time. Ask me what I've done so far before giving the next step. 3. Don't just give me the final answer. Help me do it myself, and check my work when I share it.
I'm a parent helping my child (about 8 years old) with a lesson called "Let your numbers choose the stock" from the course "Growing a Store: second location, promos and systems". Here's what the lesson says: Think of a school bag again. In 2.20.2 you learned which books to carry first. Now you ask a bigger question: which whole shelf of books deserves the most space in the bag? You look at each category, not only each item, and you give space to the ones that pay you back fastest. The activity: Build the category table for your store (or for the practice store). Find the return on stock for each category. Name one category to grow, one to shrink, and three items of dead stock with an action for each. Please explain this so an 8-year-old understands: short sentences, a fun everyday example, and no hard words. Then give me 3 simple questions I can ask my child to check they understood, and a way to do the activity together, one tiny step at a time.
Sources
- Formulas in this lesson are standard retail maths; the numbers are practice numbers. The 60-day rule and four-week trial are rules of thumb you adjust to your own store.
Promotions that really pay
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Systems: routines, receiving and shrink
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Hiring, training and till controls
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Money for growth: cash needs and borrowing
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Testing a second location
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Opening store two and running both
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Final project
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Quiz
What does "return on stock" for a category tell you?
How much gross profit each unit of stock money brings; it helps you decide which categories get more space.
What is dead stock?
Stock that has not sold for a long time you choose (for example 60 days), which needs an action plan.
A profit per piece of 5 and a discount of 1: what sales lift keeps your gross profit the same?
1 ÷ (5 - 1) = 25%.
Why can a deep discount on a low-margin item be dangerous?
You need a very large extra volume just to earn the same gross profit.
What is an SOP?
A short written checklist for a repeated job so the work is done the same way every time.
How do you find shrink?
Compare book stock with counted stock; the loss at cost divided by sales is the shrink rate.
What are the three stages of training a new helper?
Watch, do with you, do alone.
Staff cost is paid from what?
Gross profit; track staff cost ÷ gross profit.
What is the real cost of a loan?
Total you repay minus the amount you borrowed, plus any fees.
Why make a 13-week cash forecast before opening store two?
To see in advance if cash goes below zero in any week.
What is cannibalisation?
When a new store takes some customers from your existing store, so total sales rise less than you hoped.
Why write a stop-loss rule before opening?
So you decide with numbers and a date, not with feelings, when to fix or close the new store.
Final exam
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Certificate
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