A fair comparison matrix
If you compare bicycles, scooters and skateboards, you need to ask the same questions about each one: how fast, how much, how safe, how tiring. Comparing trading styles is the same. Use one list of questions for every style, and write the bad answers as clearly as the good ones.
- Education only. The matrix is a thinking tool. It does not tell anyone which style to pick.
- Use the same six questions for every style:
- Time: how many hours a week of attention?
- Capital: how much money is needed to take the risk size sensibly?
- Costs: how much do fees, spread and slippage take per year?
- Rules: which regulator and tax rules apply (course 5.11, Lesson 6)?
- Psychology: how many decisions and how many losses will you live through?
- Evidence: what do studies and regulators say about people who tried it (Lesson 7)?
- A fair comparison has a "how it fails" column for every style, not only "what it demands".
- A comparison is only as good as its inputs. Many numbers in this course are made-up planning numbers; they show how the math works, they are not measured facts.
| Style (course 5.11) | Typical holding time | Main way it hurts |
|---|---|---|
| Scalping | seconds to minutes | Costs eat most of tiny targets |
| Day trading | within one day | Costs, stress, many decisions |
| Swing trading | days to weeks | Overnight gaps, slow feedback |
| Position trading | weeks to months or longer | Long drawdowns, tying up money |
| Algorithmic / automated | depends on the rules | Overfitted rules, technical errors |
| Copy / social trading | depends on who is copied | Past results of the copied trader do not predict future ones |
- Failure modes of comparing:
- Comparing the best case of one style with the worst case of another.
- Leaving out costs or the price of courses and software.
- Comparing a demo result with a real account.
- Picking a style because of its adverts, not because of the six questions.
- Draw a table with six columns (the six questions) and six rows (the styles in the table above).
- In the "Time" and "Capital" columns, write "unknown" for every row. You will fill them in during the course.
- In a seventh column, write the main way each style fails, in your own words.
- Add a column called "What I still need to check" and write one line for each style.
- Write at the top: "Education only. Demo and made-up data only."
- Check: every cell has an entry (even "unknown"), and the failure column is not empty for any style.
Videos by other creators on YouTube, for reference. They are not made by or affiliated with The Future Market.
Read the video script
[Host] "Comparing trading styles starts with one list of questions for all of them."
[Text on screen: time, capital, costs, rules, psychology, evidence] "Six questions: time, capital, costs, rules, psychology, and evidence."
[Screen: a table with a bold column titled 'how it fails'] "And a column for how each style fails. Every style has one."
[Text on screen: made-up numbers, demo data only] "Use made-up numbers to learn the math. Never treat them as promises."
[Host] "A fair comparison is honest about the bad answers."
Build the empty six-by-six comparison matrix described in the Step by step section. Fill in only the failure column and the "what I still need to check" column. Keep it: you will fill in the rest in the next lessons.
ClaudeStuck? Copy a ready-made prompt for Claude
Copy this, open Claude, paste it, and Claude will walk you through the lesson step by step.
For a grown-up: Claude is for adults (18+). Copy this, paste it into Claude, and use the answer to explain the lesson to your child.
I'm learning "Trading Styles Compared: time, capital and psychology" on The Future Market. Lesson 1: "A fair comparison matrix". What the lesson teaches: - Education only. The matrix is a thinking tool. It does not tell anyone which style to pick. - Use the same six questions for every style: - A fair comparison has a "how it fails" column for every style, not only "what it demands". - A comparison is only as good as its inputs. Many numbers in this course are made-up planning numbers; they show how the math works, they are not measured facts. - Style (course 5.11) - Typical holding time - Main way it hurts - Scalping - seconds to minutes - Costs eat most of tiny targets - Day trading - within one day - Costs, stress, many decisions The exercise I'm working on: Build the empty six-by-six comparison matrix described in the Step by step section. Fill in only the failure column and the "what I still need to check" column. Keep it: you will fill in the rest in the next lessons. --- I'm stuck. Please: 1. Explain the main idea in plain, simple words with one everyday example. 2. Walk me through the exercise one small step at a time. Ask me what I've done so far before giving the next step. 3. Don't just give me the final answer. Help me do it myself, and check my work when I share it. 4. This is for learning only. Remind me to check with a licensed professional before I make a real decision about my own money, health or legal situation.
I'm a parent helping my child (about 8 years old) with a lesson called "A fair comparison matrix" from the course "Trading Styles Compared: time, capital and psychology". Here's what the lesson says: If you compare bicycles, scooters and skateboards, you need to ask the same questions about each one: how fast, how much, how safe, how tiring. Comparing trading styles is the same. Use one list of questions for every style, and write the bad answers as clearly as the good ones. The activity: Build the empty six-by-six comparison matrix described in the Step by step section. Fill in only the failure column and the "what I still need to check" column. Keep it: you will fill in the rest in the next lessons. --- Please explain this so an 8-year-old understands: short sentences, a fun everyday example, and no hard words. Then give me 3 simple questions I can ask my child to check they understood, and a way to do the activity together, one tiny step at a time. Keep it general and educational. This is not advice for a real situation.
Time: hours, sessions and feedback speed
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Costs: how trade count turns small fees into big drag
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Capital, fixed fees and leverage
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Psychology: decisions, losing streaks and behaviour
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Rules, taxes and records by style
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What the evidence can and cannot say about each style
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Final project
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Quiz
What six questions does a fair comparison of styles use?
Time, capital, costs, rules, psychology and evidence.
Why should every style have a "how it fails" column?
Because every style has failure modes, and comparing only the good parts is unfair.
About how long does it take to collect 100 results at 40 trades a year?
About 2.5 years.
What is rough cost drag?
The number of round-trip trades per year times the cost per round trip as a share of the money used.
In the made-up example, what is the rough cost drag at 500 trades a year with 0.05% per round trip?
About 25% per year.
On a $1,000 account risking 1%, what share of the risk is a $5 fixed fee?
50% ($5 of $10).
At 2:1 leverage, what share of the account is lost on a 5% adverse move?
10%.
Do losing streaks get longer or shorter as the number of trades grows?
Longer (even with a fair 50% win chance).
Which trap is commonly described for day traders after a loss?
Revenge trading.
What factors can lead a tax agency to treat trading gains as business income?
Frequent trading and short holding periods (Canada's CRA lists these factors in IT-479R).
Do the studies in this course prove that swing or position trading are safe?
No. They mostly cover day trading and CFDs, and absence of evidence is not evidence of safety.
What did the Barber and Odean (2000) study find about the most active households?
They earned about 11.4% a year against 17.9% for the market, which the authors linked to trading costs.
Final exam
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Certificate
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